It's no secret that the 2019-20 winter season has been a mild and less-snow filled one compared to normal. To date, the coldest temperature for the season is 1° that was set back on January 19. Rockford officially has only 6 days containing temperatures in the single digits along with 0 days with temperatures at or below zero.
This is all slightly behind compared to normal. It's also very hard to compare this winter season to the winter season last year for 2018-19. The coldest temperature of that season was -31º, recorded on January 31, 2019. This also goes down as Rockford's all-time coldest temperature. The 2018-19 winter season also had 12 days with single digit temperatures and 11 days with temperatures at or below 0°.
We're also behind slightly on snowfall for the season. To date Rockford has 16.6" under its belt, 7.7" below normal. Now while we don't have a lot of snow compared to normal, February has proved in the past to be a very active month.
Between 2010 and 2019, 7 Februarys had snow above normal, most recently being February of last year. The latest outlooks show that the active pattern for the rest of the month looks to stay in place. Meaning more weather systems are in the cards over the next 2.5 weeks.
Monday and Tuesday will be the nicest days of the work week. Sun and mixed clouds both will be in our skies on those days with high temperatures near normal. We'll also be remaining quiet with light winds. This will change on Wednesday as we're eyeing a system that looks to bring snow to the region.
As of now, the snow doesn't look to begin falling until later Wednesday in the evening. I do think we'll get some accumulation from this with the slightly higher snowfall potential in place just south of Rockford. Most of the snow will fall overnight and into early Thursday. It's too early to talk snow totals but I'm not anticipating this being a big storm.
Following the needed snowfall, a burst of Arctic air moves into the region. The good news is that it will not last long! We are forecasting high temperatures in the teens Thursday and Friday with more mostly cloudy skies first then sunny skies on Friday.
Winds also look to be very light during those days, meaning wind chills will not be as big of a factor compared to the past. However, this doesn't mean it won't get below zero. In fact, we're forecasting the first sub-zero temperatures of the winter season to occur late Thursday night into Friday morning.
Once the weekend comes around, temperatures look to rebound back above normal into the upper 30's to near 40°. If the latest 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook stands, mild temperatures look to persist going through the next two weeks. We'll fine tune the temperatures longer range along with Wednesday's snowfall in the days ahead.