Mild temperature trend to continue Tuesday

Pattern to turn more active later in the week
Published: Dec. 5, 2022 at 7:11 PM CST
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ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) - After a sunny, seasonably chilly weekend in the Stateline, things have turned slightly milder, albeit more cloudy to start the new workweek.

Unfortunately, we’re not to see much of the sun in the coming days, as our weather pattern is set to take a turn for the more active. A mostly cloudy sky Monday night is to carry over into Tuesday, and a weak disturbance may trigger a few brief, scattered rain or snow showers from late Tuesday morning through mid to late afternoon. Temperatures are likely to top out in very similar, if not identical territory to Monday, with highs in the lower 40s.

Flurries or light snow showers are possible late in the morning Tuesday.
Flurries or light snow showers are possible late in the morning Tuesday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Rain may begin to mix with the snow by the noon hour.
Rain may begin to mix with the snow by the noon hour.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Rain or snow showers remain possible on a widely scattered basis early in the afternoon.
Rain or snow showers remain possible on a widely scattered basis early in the afternoon.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
A few sprinkles may linger into the mid-afternoon hours Wednesday.
A few sprinkles may linger into the mid-afternoon hours Wednesday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Skies may clear a bit Tuesday evening, though full clearing is not anticipated.

Some clearing takes place Tuesday evening.
Some clearing takes place Tuesday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Clouds are to dominate for a third straight day Wednesday, and the consistent temperature trend is to continue. Should there be peeks of sunshine at times, which is entirely possible, temperatures are to reach the middle 40s. A few snow flurries are possible Wednesday evening, though once again, no travel impacts are anticipated.

Mostly cloudy skies are again on tap Wednesday.
Mostly cloudy skies are again on tap Wednesday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

While precipitation chances Tuesday and Wednesday are quite small, a stronger, more dynamic system appears increasingly likely to impact the region late Thursday into Friday.

Small chances for light rain and snow exist Tuesday and Wednesday, while Thursday and Friday...
Small chances for light rain and snow exist Tuesday and Wednesday, while Thursday and Friday look to be considerably more active.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

At this stage in the game, there are more questions than answers regarding the storm’s evolution and local impacts. The current thinking is that we’d see rain be the primary form of precipitation at first, eventually mixing with and potentially changing over to snow late Thursday night into early Friday. Just when that transition occurs, if at all, will determine how much, if any snowfall accumulation would occur. More clarity will come in the next day or two.

The pattern looks to remain active well into next week, and perhaps beyond. Longer range projections suggest there are daily chances for rain or snow Sunday through Wednesday next week. Overall, the Climate Prediction Center highlights our area as being one extremely likely to have above normal precipitation through mid-December.

The pattern looks to remain active through the middle of December, if not longer.
The pattern looks to remain active through the middle of December, if not longer.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

That means more snow, right? Well, the answer to that question is “maybe”. It could very well mean more snow, but it also could very well mean more rain. Temperatures will be critical in determining the form of precipitation we see. With milder than normal temperatures expected to be the norm through mid month, it’s far from guaranteed we’ll be shoveling. It’s also entirely possible that we’ll need our shovels on more than one occasion. Only time will tell!

Temperatures look to be above normal through the middle of the month.
Temperatures look to be above normal through the middle of the month.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)