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Briefly warmer early this week ahead of lengthy, potentially bitter chill

Snow chances few and far between
Published: Jan. 16, 2022 at 10:50 PM CST
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ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) - It’s been a rather chilly, but not brutally cold weekend in the Stateline, but milder conditions are on the horizon, albeit briefly, as the upcoming week begins.

Though the area saw a brief burst of snow Sunday afternoon, it hardly amounted to anything, continuing a frustrating trend for snow lovers this winter. Thus far, the Stateline’s seen less than half of its normal snowfall for the season, and the gap’s likely to widen in what’s to be another uneventful week, at least in the precipitation department.

We've seen just 49% of our normal snowfall thus far this season, and there's not much reason to...
We've seen just 49% of our normal snowfall thus far this season, and there's not much reason to believe that will improve anytime soon.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

In the temperature department, though, it’ll be anything but uneventful.

In the short term, we head back close to normal Monday as early cloudiness gives way to sunshine during the latter stages of the game.

Clouds are to dominate early Monday.
Clouds are to dominate early Monday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Mixed sunshine is likely to emerge Monday afternoon.
Mixed sunshine is likely to emerge Monday afternoon.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Skies are to cloud over once again Monday night and will stick around through most, if not all of the day Tuesday. There will be, however, a substantial wind shift to the south, which will allow our temperatures to surge rapidly into the upper 30s to near 40° before another cold front approaches from the northwest, eventually passing through late Tuesday night.

Clouds are to be locked on Tuesday, but southerly winds will allow us to warm up some.
Clouds are to be locked on Tuesday, but southerly winds will allow us to warm up some.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
A brief, but impressive shot of milder air is due in Tuesday. Temperatures may approach or even...
A brief, but impressive shot of milder air is due in Tuesday. Temperatures may approach or even reach 40°.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

An impressive dump of cold air quickly barrels southward from midweek on. Temperatures are likely to fall below 0° as early as Wednesday night, and Thursday may very well see temperatures stay in the single digits throughout.

A much more impressive stab of colder air arrives later this week.
A much more impressive stab of colder air arrives later this week.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Unlike previous arctic surges, this one may have more staying power, if current model guidance proves accurate. There remain strong signals that suggest that below normal temperatures are, in all likelihood, to take us through the remainder of January.

Below normal temperatures are expected through the end of January.
Below normal temperatures are expected through the end of January.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Could that mean that, at long last, we may finally be headed for a more snowy pattern? Unfortunately, for snow enthusiasts, the answer appears to be no. Overall, it appears quite likely that drier to much drier than normal conditions are expected to continue over the next two weeks.

There's not a lot of hope for snow enthusiasts over the next two weeks.
There's not a lot of hope for snow enthusiasts over the next two weeks.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

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