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Hotter, more humid Friday ahead of late storm chances

Severe weather, impacts on evening football games both unlikely
Published: Sep. 16, 2021 at 6:43 PM CDT|Updated: Sep. 16, 2021 at 6:44 PM CDT
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ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) - Our award winning stretch of weather continues in the Stateline, with the area having recorded another high temperature of 85° or higher for a whopping 67th time in 2021. It’s also the 104th time this year with highs of 80° or above, just 16 away from the all-time record of 120 days set back in 1939.

The warmth continues its residence Friday, though humidity will be noticeably more present compared to the past several days. Sunshine is to dominate at the day’s open, though clouds will begin to overspread the area by midday or shortly thereafter.

Sunshine will start the day Friday, though clouds will begin to overspread the area come midday...
Sunshine will start the day Friday, though clouds will begin to overspread the area come midday or shortly thereafter.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

The approach of a cold front later in the afternoon will bring the area our first rain chances of the week, though they’re hardly a slam dunk. Widely scattered showers and storms appear a decent bet to enter the Stateline late in the afternoon.

A few widely scattered showers and storms may be around in time for the evening commute Friday.
A few widely scattered showers and storms may be around in time for the evening commute Friday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

At this juncture, most projections have these showers and storms out of the area by the time Friday evening’s football games commence, though all it would take is for these storms to slow down by an hour or two to have impacts on the action.

Showers and storms look to push out just in time for Friday night's football games.
Showers and storms look to push out just in time for Friday night's football games.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Whether we get storms or not here is far from a slam dunk, considering we remain in a substantial drought, and models often over-forecast rainfall during remarkably dry patterns. One thing’s for sure, though, and that’s that severe weather is extremely unlikely with any of these storms.

Any thunderstorms Friday are highly unlikely to be severe.
Any thunderstorms Friday are highly unlikely to be severe.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Sunshine returns for us Saturday as winds shift easterly, resulting in slightly lower temperatures and much lower humidity.

Sunshine will be dominant once again Saturday. Easterly winds will send temperatures down a bit.
Sunshine will be dominant once again Saturday. Easterly winds will send temperatures down a bit.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Winds quickly shift back to the south again Sunday, spelling humidity’s return. This time, however, it appears as though unseasonable warmth and humidity will be around for a multi-day stay.

Things will turn more humid again Friday, more comfortable Saturday, and muggy again beginning...
Things will turn more humid again Friday, more comfortable Saturday, and muggy again beginning Sunday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Come Monday night and Tuesday, a much stronger cold front approaches, bringing better chances for showers and storms. That said, there just aren’t any indications of any widespread soaking rains in the cards over the coming week, meaning our already ominous drought situation’s only likely to worsen. As of Thursday, Rockford’s more than 13 inches below normal in the rainfall department.

Just about the entire area's under a Moderate Drought, with Severe Drought beginning to show up...
Just about the entire area's under a Moderate Drought, with Severe Drought beginning to show up again just to our east.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

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