Will this Record Heat Lead to a Hot Summer?

By: METEOROLOGIST MARK HENDERSON
By: METEOROLOGIST MARK HENDERSON

Many here are fearful that this unseasonable, unprecedented mid-March heat will pave the way to the same for the upcoming summer! Here's an opportunity to put many of those fears to rest. There've been 7 other years in which March was comparably warm to this one, and of those seven, four of them went on to produce more 90s than normal in the summer ahead, while three of the seven produced below normal 90s. Sure, there were some scorchers in the mix, as evidenced by 1921's 62 90s, which was the hottest summer on record! On the contrary, the summer of 2000 only produced 4 90s!

The average amount of 90s produced those seven years was 22, substantially more than the 14.5 we see in a normal summer, but nearly 20% fewer than the amount of 90s witnessed last summer! Taking out the extreme numbers on both the high and the low side, the average comes much closer to normal! What this research proves is that this heat by no means suggests a brutal summer ahead, nor does it prove that our fortunes will reverse and turn cool. Basically, all we can say is that it's anybody's guess!


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