Many have asked if the unseasonably warm winter and this remarkable stretch of weather would have an impact on our upcoming Spring and Summer! First, as nice as this stretch of weather has been and will continue to be, a one or two week stretch of warmth is too small a sample size to make any definite conclusions regarding a long range pattern. That said, these past three months of winter may tell a different story! I scanned through the Top 10 Warmest Winters and then sought to see what the springs and summers that followed offered us!
As far as Spring goes, we're going to give this an "inconclusive" grade. 3 of those 10 Springs were above normal in terms of temperature, while 4 were below normal, and 3 were near normal. So it's safe to say that we have just as good a chance being above normal vs. below normal vs. normal through late May and early June.
The summers that followed warm winters were a tiny bit more conclusive, but hardly a slam dunk! 6 of the 10 summers that followed a warm winter were above normal, while just 3 were below normal and 1 was near normal. But boy were there ever some extremes in those summers we sampled in our records! The summer of 1921 was the hottest ever, while the summer of 1931 and 1983 also cracked the top-10 hottest! On the other side, one of the below normal summers happened to be the summer of 1992, which was actually the 2nd coldest of any on record here!
Suffice it to say that there's a TON of uncertainty as to how this past winter will affect the upcoming spring and summer based on past trends! One thing we do know for sure is that this remarkable warmth will continue well into next week and beyond! Presently five consecutive record highs are in the forecast from Wednesday through Friday, and near record highs are forecast next Monday and Tuesday! Current model projections keep the unprecedented warmth over us through March 24-25, perhaps longer!