The evening suite of computer models have continued with a shift to the South in our storm track for Thursday. They're also coming in about 3-6 hours slower with the arrival of the snowfall. Here's the current thinking with these new developments...
- Our forecast of 3" to 7" remains very much intact areawide. Current trends point to the heaviest accumulations falling between I-80 and Rt. 64, though even the most subtle shifts in the track North or South will shift that corridor in either direction. This is NOT a guarantee!
- Arrival of snowfall pushed back to after 11:00 most areas. Heaviest snow to fall between 5:00 and 11:00pm.
- Thundersnow remains very much a possibility. Snowfall rates of up to 2"/hour possible wherever thundersnow is occurring.
- Mixture with rain looks far less likely, except perhaps in far southern sections of the area early in the event.
- Models tendency to keep trending the system further south is an important tendency to watch. Should that trend continue in the next few runs, we'd see the accumulation bullseye shift even further South. Though should the models come back a bit north with the storm, it would very likely put the Rockford Metro right in the middle of the heaviest accumulation.
- We're keeping a very close eye on all the developments, and will have more to update you on as it becomes available!
- We'll be providing updates on our 23 Storm Team Facebook Page as well. Check there regularly for information, we've provided a link below.